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Lake
Tahoe Real Estate Market News |
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APR.
HIGHLIGHTS:
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| Deb
Howard & Co. Newsletter
April 2008 |
EXISTING
HOME SALES RISE IN FEBRUARY
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WASHINGTON, March 24,
2008 - Sales of existing homes increased in February
and remain within a fairly stable range, according
to the National Association of Realtors®.
Existing-home sales – including
single-family, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops
– rose 2.9 percent to a seasonally adjusted
annual rate (1) of 5.03 million units in February
from a pace of 4.89 million in January, but remain
23.8 percent below the 6.60 million-unit level in
February 2007. The sales pace has been in a fairly
narrow range since last September.
Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist,
said the gain is encouraging. “We’re
not expecting a notable gain in existing-home sales
until the second half of this year, but the improvement
is another sign that the market is stabilizing,”
he said. “Buyers taking advantage of higher
loan limits for both FHA and conventional mortgages
will unleash some pent-up demand. As inventories
are drawn down, prices in many markets should go
positive later this year.”
The national median existing-home
price (2) for all housing types was $195,900 in
February, down 8.2 percent from a year earlier when
the median was $213,500. Because the slowdown in
sales from a year ago is greater in high-cost areas,
there is a downward pull to the national median
with relatively fewer sales in higher priced markets.
Home prices within metropolitan areas
are more telling. The most recent data shows roughly
half of the metro areas in the U.S. with price increases,
with healthy gains in markets such as Oklahoma City
and Trenton, N.J. “In other areas such as
Sacramento, a rapid price decline has induced buyers
to come into the market and sales are now rising,”
Yun said. “The relationship between home prices,
interest rates and income has improved to the point
where buyers are more serious about making offers.”
According to Freddie Mac, the national
average commitment rate for a 30-year, conventional,
fixed-rate mortgage rose to 5.92 percent in February
from 5.76 percent in January; the rate was 6.29
percent in February 2007.
NAR President Richard F. Gaylord,
a broker with RE/MAX Real Estate Specialists in
Long Beach, Calif., said that negotiation and knowledge
are even more important in the current market. “Consumers
need to be aware of local market conditions and
comparable sales prices to have a clear picture
of a home’s value,” he said. “Realtors®
understanding of local markets, negotiating expertise,
and transaction experience are invaluable to both
buyers and sellers, today as much as ever.”
Total housing inventory fell 3.0 percent
at the end of February to 4.03 million existing
homes available for sale, which represents a 9.6-month
supply (3) at the current sales pace, down from
a 10.2-month supply in January.
Single-family home sales increased
2.8 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate
of 4.47 million in February from an upwardly revised
4.35 million in January, but are 22.9 percent below
5.80 million-unit level a year ago. The median existing
single-family home price was $193,900 in February,
down 8.7 percent from February 2007.
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Existing Home Sales Rise in February
House Bill Includes Increased
Loan Limits
More Californians can now afford
homes
Mortgage Rates Continue Lower
Mortgage Market Outlook Improving
California Housing Affordability Rises
FOMC Lowers Rates
Team
Announcements
MLS
Statistics
C.A.R.
Statistics
Mortgage
Rate Update
Comparison
Stats for
SLT Real Estate
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| Toll
Free
866-542-2912
Office
530-542-2912
Fax
530-542-8657
3599
Lake Tahoe Blvd
Suite A
South Lake Tahoe, California 96150
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| Existing condominium
and co-op sales rose 3.7 percent to a seasonally adjusted
annual rate of 560,000 units in February from a downwardly
revised 540,000 in January, and are 29.7 percent below the
797,000-unit pace in February 2007. The median existing
condo price (4) was $211,700 in February, which is 4.9 percent
lower than a year ago.
Regionally, existing-home sales in the Northeast
jumped 11.3 percent to an annual pace of 890,000 in February,
but are 26.4 percent below February 2007. The median price
in the Northeast was $264,800, up 0.4 percent from a year
ago.
More
on this story
Source: Realtor.org
(National Association of Realtors)
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CONGRESS SENDS PRESIDENT STIMULUS
PACKAGE
FINAL BILL INCLUDES INCREASED LOAN LIMITS
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Thanks in part to lobbying by C.A.R.
and NAR members, the Senate passed their version of an economic
stimulus package today, Thursday, February 07, 2008. The
Senate version expands rebate checks for seniors and disabled
veterans and includes the same increases to the conforming
loan limits for both GSE and FHA found in the House stimulus
package. The House just passed the Senate version of the
bill and it will now be sent to the White House. The President
is expected to sign the legislation by the end of next week,
ahead of the Congressional self-appointed deadline of February
15th. The increase in the conforming loan limits will last
through 2008, but C.A.R. and NAR continue to lobby for FHA
and GSE reform, making these increases permanent.
The U.S. House of Representatives passed
a stimulus package last week that raised the FHA and conforming
loan limits to as high as $729,750 in high-cost areas. By
increasing the loan limits, borrowers will see immediate
relief with new liquidity in the mortgage market and the
nation will see an additional 300,000 home sales. Research
shows that an increase in the FHA limit would enable an
additional 138,000 Americans to purchase homes, and 200,000
families to refinance their homes safely and affordably.
Increasing the FHA loan limits is critical
to bolstering California’s housing market. Current
law restricts FHA loans to levels well below the median
home price in many areas of the country and caps loans in
high cost states at $363,790. These limits are preventing
many homebuyers from using FHA to purchase or refinance
their loan. The proposed provision will increase FHA loan
limits nationwide by raising the floor to $271,050 and the
limit to 125% of local median home prices.
Additionally, raising Fannie Mae and Freddie
Mac’s (GSEs) conforming loan limit will provide immediate
relief to borrowers and alleviate downward pressure on current
housing markets. For instance, increasing the GSE loan limit
could result in more than 300,000 additional home sales
and strengthen current home prices by 2-3%.
The critical role that GSEs play in providing
liquidity to the mortgage market has never been more evident
than it is today. The national subprime meltdown has had
a dramatic impact on both the cost and availability of mortgages
in many markets. Since August 2007, the interest rates for
jumbo borrowers have been more than 1 percentage point higher
than conforming loans, which can cost homeowners up to $400
month in higher interest payments. |
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MORE CALIFORNIANS CAN AFFORD TO
BUY THEIR FIRST HOME
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| According to the California
Association of Realtors at least a third of California households
could afford to purchase their first home during the last
3 months of 2007. That is a rather dramatic increase from
25% affordability just a year ago. C.A.R. calculates first-time
buyer affordability based on the minimum household income
required to make a 10 percent down payment and secure an
adjustable interest rate loan at 6.21 percent.
In South Lake Tahoe, the median price of a
home has declined over the past 12 months, now making home
ownership viable for many that may have previously thought
an entry level home was out of reach.
Statewide, the median price of a single family
home has dropped in price by some 16.5% during the past
year. Although, not nearly that dramatic in South Shore,
or for Lake Tahoe real estate in general, there have been
price declines which now allow qualification for home ownership
to many that may have been excluded before.
.To read the full story, click
here.
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30 YEAR MORTGAGE RATES CONTINUE DOWNWARD
TREND
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No Drastic Changes Experienced This Week
McLean, VA – Freddie Mac (3/27/08) today
released the results of its Primary Mortgage Market Survey®
(PMMS®) in which the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage (FRM)
averaged 5.85 percent with an average 0.4 point for the
week ending March 27, 2008, down from last week when it
averaged 5.87 percent. Last year at this time, the 30-year
FRM averaged 6.16 percent.
"Long-term mortgage rates were mixed,
but relatively unchanged in the past week as the latest
economic indicators came in much as expected," said
Frank Nothaft, Freddie Mac vice president and chief economist.
"For instance, the index of leading indicators continued
to fall for the fifth straight month while consumer confidence
reached a 5-year low.
"On the housing front, house prices keep
declining across the nation. The S&P/Case-Shiller Home
Price Index® was the most recent to document the drop
in prices, reporting a decline of 2.3 percent from December
to January in its 10-City Composite Index and a cumulative
decline of 11.4 percent from January a year ago. Lower prices
improve affordability and the National Association of Realtors
reported that its home affordability index was at the highest
level in nearly five years, contributing to a pickup in
existing home sales in February."
Full
Story from Freddie Mac |
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IMPROVEMENT IN MORTGAGE MARKET BODES
WELL FOR HOUSING IN 2008
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WASHINGTON, October 10, 2007 - Conditions in the mortgage
market are improving for consumers, which should help to
release some pent-up demand in early 2008, according to
the latest forecast by the National Association of Realtors®.
Lawrence Yun, NAR senior economist, notes
that widening credit availability will help turn around
home sales. “Conforming loans are abundantly available
at historically favorable mortgage rates. Pricing has steadily
improved on jumbo mortgages since the August credit crunch,
and FHA loans are replacing subprime mortgages,” he
said.
Yun said it’s important to place the
current housing market in perspective, and that 2007 will
be the fifth highest year on record for existing-home sales.
“Although sales are off from an unsustainable peak
in 2005, there is a historically high level of home sales
taking place this year – a lot of people are, in fact,
buying homes,” he said. “One out of 16 American
households is buying a home this year. The speculative excesses
have been removed from the market and home sales are returning
to fundamentally healthy levels, while prices remain near
record highs, reflecting favorable mortgage rates and positive
job gains.”
Full
Story from N.A.R |
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| C.A.R.
REPORTS SALES DECREASE, AND MEDIAN HOME PRICE DROP |
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LOS ANGELES (Feb.
25) – Home sales decreased 29.8 percent in January
in California compared with the same period a year ago,
while the median price of an existing home fell 21.9
percent, the CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® (C.A.R.)
reported today.
“This most recent decrease in the median
price is yet another result of the liquidity crunch, which
has choked off sales in recent months for nearly half of
California’s housing market," said C.A.R.
President William E. Brown. "Sales do appear to be
edging up, but recent declines in the median price have
been due to a lack of sales in the over $500,000 range,
where funds are extremely scarce and jumbo loan rates are
at near-record margins compared to conforming loan rates.”
Closed escrow sales of existing, single-family
detached homes in California totaled 313,580 in January
at a seasonally adjusted annualized rate, according to information
collected by C.A.R. from more than 90 local REALTOR®
associations statewide. Statewide home resale activity decreased 29.8
percent from the 446,820 sales pace recorded in January
2007.
More
on this story
Source: California Association of Realtors®
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FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD LOWERS
RATES BY 3/4 PERCENT
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Release Date: March 18, 2008
The Federal Open Market Committee decided
today to lower its target for the federal funds rate 75
basis points to 2-1/4 percent.
Recent information indicates that the outlook
for economic activity has weakened further. Growth in
consumer spending has slowed and labor markets have softened.
Financial markets remain under considerable stress, and
the tightening of credit conditions and the deepening
of the housing contraction are likely to weigh on economic
growth over the next few quarters.
Inflation has been elevated, and some indicators
of inflation expectations have risen. The Committee expects
inflation to moderate in coming quarters, reflecting a
projected leveling-out of energy and other commodity prices
and an easing of pressures on resource utilization. Still,
uncertainty about the inflation outlook has increased.
It will be necessary to continue to monitor inflation
developments carefully.
Today’s policy action, combined with
those taken earlier, including measures to foster market
liquidity, should help to promote moderate growth over
time and to mitigate the risks to economic activity. However,
downside risks to growth remain. The Committee will act
in a timely manner as needed to promote sustainable economic
growth and price stability.
More
from the Federal Reserve
(Source: Federal Reserve Board)
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Congratulations
to Shannon Witt as Agent of the Month for February. Shannon,
who has been with Deb Howard & Co. for nearly a year now,
proves her dedication to her clients and to the profession
of Real Estate on a daily basis. We all look forward to having
Shannon as a co-worker for many years to come.
Shannon can be contacted through our office or her email at:
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Shannon
Witt |
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CURRENT
SOUTH LAKE TAHOE MARKET STATISTICS |
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No. of Listings |
$ Volume |
Average Price |
Median Price |
Average D.O.M. |
Active Listings
Listings Under Contract
Listings Sold 2008
Residential Homes Sold 2008
(as of 4 / 7 / 08 ) |
677
59
90
71 |
$391,467,126
$32,161,313
$39,678,300
$34,227,900 |
$578,238
$545,107
$440,870
$482,083 |
$449,000
$420,000 $383,750 $399,000 |
196
201
171
183 |
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SINGLE FAMILY HOME MEDIAN PRICE BY AREA |
| Al Tahoe |
$ 484,000 (23) |
No.Upper Truckee |
$ 474,000 (20) |
| Bijou |
$ 491,000 (30) |
Sierra Tract |
$ 329,500 (25) |
| Christmas Valley |
$ 561,000 (14) |
Stateline |
$ 645,000 (1) |
| Gardner Mountain |
$ 458,250 (18) |
Tahoe Island Park |
$ 439,000 (13) |
| Heavenly Valley |
$ 799,000 (24) |
Tahoe Keys |
$ 1,115,000 (42) |
| Meyers |
$ 448,500 (13) |
Tahoe Paradise |
$ 499,000 (23) |
| Montgomery Est. |
$ 674,000 (32) |
Y Area |
$ 339,000 (13) |
| (as of 4 / 7 / 08 ) |
CALIFORNIA
ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS MARKET STATISTICS |
Calif. Median Home Price
Calif. Highest Median Price by C.A.R. Region
Calif. Lowest Median Price by C.A.R. Region
(as of 4 / 2 / 08 )
Source: California Association of Realtors |
Feb. 2008
Feb. 2008
Feb. 2008
|
$$409,240
Santa Barbara $1,295,000
High Desert $220,380 |
Mortgage Rates as of 4 / 3 / 2008
(Western U.S. Average)
(Source: Freddie Mac) |
30 Year Fixed
15 Year Fixed
1 Year Adj. |
5.88 %
5.38 %
5.25 % |
Fees & Points: 0.5 %
Fees & Points: 0.5 %
Fees & Points: 0.4 % |
COMPARISON
STATISTICS FOR THE SOUTH LAKE TAHOE REAL ESTATE MARKET |
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Median Sales Price |
This Month Last Year |
Percent Increase |
Residential Sales -
Feb. 2008 |
$435,750 |
$474,250 |
-8.1% |
Residential Sales -
Feb. 2007 |
$474,250 |
$485,000 |
-2.2% |
STAOR Methodology used.
Multi-Year Statistics Here. |
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No.
of Listings |
$ Volume |
Average
Price |
Median
Price |
Average
D.O.M. |
Residential Sales -
Q1 2008 |
66 |
$31,840,400 |
$482,430 |
$402,500 |
173 |
Residential Sales -
Q1 2007 |
76 |
$42,891,900 |
$564,367 |
$482,500 |
176 |
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| page revised on 4
/ 7 / 08 |
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